Reading FC Bookie Watch: November 2013

Alan Crowhurst

Lets admit it, we're all completely and utterly biased when it comes to comparing Reading with our rivals. Sometimes that bias (or being better informed in some cases) can have it's advantages when we walk into the bookies but as you've rarely seen a broke bookie, it's always worth keeping an eye on how they see it for a more impartial view.

All odds are the best available and taken from Oddschecker.com on November 18

Championship: Odds to be promoted
JULY 28 NOVEMBER 18
QPR 2/1 4/9
LEICESTER 4/1 6/5
BURNLEY 16/1 9/4
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 4/1 3/1
READING 3/1 7/2
WATFORD 4/1 7/2
WIGAN 9/2 9/2
LEEDS 7/1 9/1
DERBY 8/1 10/1

(BOLD TEAMS = ODDS SHORTENING)

*****

Well it's not hard to see who the bookies fancy to be partying come May, with Harry Redknapp's QPR side rampant favourites at more than 2 to 1 on, meaning a hundred pound bet would only net you £44 in profit right now.

Burnley have seen their pre-season odds slashed after their impressive start, with 16/1 pre-season odds down to just over 2/1 now.

Nottingham Forest were fifth favourites pre-season and they've edged in very slightly but it's Bolton who've seen the biggest crash, with Dougie Freedman's side tthe third favourites at 100/30 pre-season but now out at a distant 18/1.

Reading and Watford were both fancied pre-season but both have suffered minor slips after mixed starts to the season. For me it's interesting that Reading have only gone out to 7/2 from 3/1, considering we've hardly lived up to the pre-season hype. However as mentioned at the top of the piece, it's certainly a good thing to be so fancied by the bookmakers and considering we're still in a play-off place after such a mediocre start, maybe we should be a tad more optimistic going forward.

If you want some long shots, well Middlesbrough at 33/1 look appealing, while as a total random shot in the dark, Charlton at a best price 66/1 might be worth the change in your pocket.

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Championship Winner Odds

JULY 28 NOVEMBER 18
QPR 6/1 5/4
LEICESTER 14/1 9/2
BURNLEY 80/1 8/1
NOTT'M FOREST 11/1 11/1
WATFORD 12/1 16/1
READING 9/1 20/1

Again it's Harry Redknapp's side who are the strong favourites to lift the trophy they last won in 2010, with Leicester then Burnley both under 10/1.

Reading have seen their odds more than double out to 20/1, with Bet365 offering the best odds right now. Most of the other companies are a bit more conservative, pricing the Royals around the 14/1 mark.

20/1 seems rather long odds for a team still in the play-off places but then I suppose such odds are designed to target gullible fools such as myself. That being said, take a look at our bookie watch written in November 2011, where Reading were a whopping 80/1 to win the league, compared to 25/1 to be relegated, we all know how that one panned out......

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Championship: Odds to be relegated
JULY 28 NOVEMBER 18
YEOVIL 11/10 1/3
BARNSLEY 13/5 11/13
DONCASTER 5/2 7/4
SHEFF WEDS 9/2 5/2
READING 40/1 250/1

Good news everyone! We're now around six times less likely to be relegated according to the bookmakers than we were pre-season. If you do fancy a spectacular collapse you can get odds of 250/1, well behind the favourites Yeovil, Barnsley and Doncaster.

Of course that's not to say it couldn't happen.... After all just take a look at this table, 18 games into the 1995/96 season. Millwall sat on top of the pile after losing just two of their first 18 games, only to see themselves relegated after losing 18 of their next 26 games.

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Golden Boot & Others

I won't list all the names here but Adam Le Fondre was 14/1 to lead the goalscoring charts pre-season and despite six goals so far, he's now fallen to 33/1 well behind 10 goal Jordan Rhodes at 3/1 and 11 goal Ross McCormack at 8/1. Big Pav is the second highest rated Royal at 66/1 after four goals so far, with Hal Robson-Kanu unchanged from his pre-season 150/1 and Nick Blackman also at 150/1.

As for other markets well Nigel Adkins is 50/1 to be the next manager to leave his post, with Blackburn manager Gary Bowyer, the manager of Reading's opponents on Saturday the favourite at 4/1.

Reading are 4/7 to make the play-offs and 1/12 to finish inside the top half.

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So that's how the money men see it. If you are of age, in a country that allows it and fancy a flutter please gamble responsibly while you can always visit to Gamble Aware for support and information on the dangers.

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