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Reading FC Bookie Watch - January 23

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In our previous bookie watch, Reading were all but down according to the bookies, with odds of 1/7 being given on our relegation and Brian McDermott 5/4 to be the next manager axed. So how has our recent upturn in fortune altered the predictions of the money men and is there value to be had gambling on our survival?

Gareth Copley

First of all let's look at the battle to stay up. Here's the current best prices you can get on a team to be relegated.

Odds_medium

KEY: Red - Odds shortening Green - Odds lengthening

For the first time in bookie watch this season, Reading's odds for relegation are lengthening. While we're still rated a roughly 70% chance to go down at 2/5, we've cut our odds by nearly a third after three wins in our last four matches.

Elsewhere and all of our main rivals except for Southampton have seen their odds shorten in the past month. QPR are the other team valued at odds on at 4/7, with Aston Villa hovering near that mark at 11/10.

Newcastle are the big movers though with their odds coming in from 80/1 at the start of November to just 7/2 now. Norwich have also seen their odds tumble in the past few weeks, with a healthy 14/1 dropping to a more nervy 7/1 due to a poor run from Chris Hughton's side.

Still, if you're feeling confident on our survival then you can get a best price of 5/2 on Reading beating the drop. That means a £10 bet will net you £25 profit, not too shabby if you've got faith in our survival, though given our next opponents are Chelsea you'd probably be better off waiting for what will probably be a negative result to see our odds lengthen a little.

Of the rest, QPR are 7/4 to stay up, Villa 5/6, Wigan 4/5 and Southampton 1/2.

At the top

Unsurprisingly Manchester United lead the way here with the bookies giving them more chance of winning the title (4/11) than on Reading going down. Defending champions Manchester City are next on 11/4 with a long gap then to Chelsea at 28/1 and Tottenham 250/1.

In the battle for a top four spot United and City are 1/1000and 1/7500 with Chelsea strongly fancied to join them at 1/9. The bookies then see it as a four way race to join them, with Tottenham favourites at 6/5. Arsenal are slightly further back at 7/5, with Everton 13/2 and Liverpool a more distant 8/1 chance.

Managers

As we mentioned Brian McDermott was the bookies favourite to be the next Premier League manager out of a job a month ago, a bet that would have failed given Nigel Adkins departure last week.

Brian is now 33/1 to be the next top level manager to leave, with Villa manager Paul Lambert now the clear 4/6 favourite after his side's loss to Bradford. Alan Pardew is next at 6/1 with no manager to leave at 9/1.

Top goalscorer

Robin van Persie unsurprisingly leads this one, with the 18 goal striker a 5/6 chance. Luis Suarez is two goals back and is given odds of 7/2 with Demba Ba the next closest at 10/1.

If you fancy a Reading player to somehow close the gap then Pavel Pogrebnyak is a 250/1 shot. No bookie is running a market that contains Adam Le Fondre but the betting exchanges have him trading at 579/1.

So thats how the bookmakers see it, do you think there's value there or have the bookies got it wrong? Let us know in the comments below.

If you do have a flutter, please gamble responsibly and head to Gamble Aware for support.

All odds quoted are best prices from Oddschecker.com