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Going into the weekend, Reading are travelling the short distance to west London to face off against an ever increasingly inconsistent Fulham side at Craven Cottage. The Royals come into the game off the back of a 1-1 draw away at Rotherham, under new manager Neil Redfearn, who heaped praise on the Royals. Fulham played Leeds United on Wednesday evening at home and pulled out a 1-1 draw.
Fulham thus far at home this season have picked up 8 points in 6, scoring 9 and conceding 8. This record includes a 4-0 win at home to local rivals QPR however which do throw the scoring stats out slightly! They are as long as 5/2 to pick up all 3 points this weekend. Reading are heavy favourites at 5/4 and currently have picked up 11 points away from home this season with their only loss coming away to Birmingham on the first game of the season.
Fulham so far have struggled against teams in the top 8, having played 7 games against those team,s and picking up 5 points, with their sole win being that 4-0 against QPR. Bearing this in mind, and how Reading have played so far this season away from home, averaging 2 points a game against teams in the bottom half so far, I would advise a Reading win is the place to begin the betting this weekend.
Both teams thus far have played 12 games, and both have had 8 games go over 2.5 goals, so my next bet is going to look at the overs market, with the Under 2.5 scoreline actually being favoured in the markets. The 10/11 available on the over 2.5 is a cracking bet for this weekend I feel, and well worth a good bet given that Reading have managed to bring Vydra back into the side, and are up against what is a strong strikeforce in McCormack and Dembele, proven by the fact they have currently scored the 4th most goals in the Championship. I feel the bookies have misjudged this one totally, and this should probably be switched around, with the overs being favourite.
Bearing the two above bets in mind, I am going to go for the hat trick this weekend and look at correct scores as well. Reading to come away with a 2-1 victory is on offer at 9/1, with Reading 3-0 at 22/1. Both are synonymous with the other stats. Reading so far have only managed 1 clean sheet on the road thus far, but have only conceded 6, so Fulham may struggle to score more than one this weekend. Reading 2-1 I feel is the better value, bearing in mind Fulham have only failed to score in 2 games thus far during the season.
Recommended bets:
Reading to win @ 5/4 - 2 pts
Over 2.5 Goals @10/11 - 3.5 pts
Reading to win 2-1 @ 9/1 - 1pt
Bank update to come after the Fulham game!
#GambleAware