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Wolves (2.20) haven't lost in 8 games in all competitions, and have won four of their last six league games. Their last outing was a 2-2 draw away at Bolton, where a last minute James Henry (Remember him?) equaliser for Wolves salvaged a point for them. A draw this weekend is priced up at 3.50, with the Royals the outsiders this weekend at 3.60.
Reading are without a win in their last four away league games, however, they have picked up two away wins in the cup in the meantime. Currently Reading have the 21st leakiest away defence in the Championship, averaging 2.1 goals conceded per game. Unfortunately going forwards paints a sorry picture as well with Reading 18th in average goals for away from home, with just 0.85 goals per game for the travelling Reading fans to cheer.
Wolves have been solid at home this season, and currently are the 8th placed team in the home table. They concede less than a goal per game at home with just 0.93 goals against them so far, they do however struggle to score with only 1.21 goals per game at home thus far.
The impotency of the Wolves attack leads me to think Reading may be able to handle the Wolves attack this weekend, with possibly an odd exception, I cannot see Reading conceding more than once. I would therefore be looking at either a 1-1 draw (7.00) or possibly a 2-1 Reading win (With Carl Ikeme out, Wolves are reverting to Tomas Kusczak playing in goal this weekend, which hopefully the frontline can take advantage of), a 2-1 win is priced at 14.00 (and possibly is a tad optimistic).
However, whether this will be enough to bring points home to Berkshire will depend upon the strike force up front with Yakubu looking set to play his first league game for the Royals this weekend. He is quoted at 8.50 to be first goalscorer, a price I wouldn't take for this weekend, as it's unknown whether Clarke will be playing him from the outset, or whether he will be on the bench. Pogrebnyak at 9.00 is a more appealing option for the Reading backers.
From a Wolves perspective, (and an ex-Reading one!), Benik Afobe (Remember him as well?) is favourite for the FGS market at 6.50. This season he has scored 20 goals in 32 appearances, and appears to be a much more rounded forward than when he played for Reading a few years ago. Bakary Sako is also worth a small bet after Mali were eliminated from the African Cup of Nations last week through the drawing of lots, he is 7.00 to be FGS.
Recommended Bets:
1) Bakary Sako FGS @ 7.00 - Bakary Sako back from the African Cup Of Nations is going to want to continue his good form this season for Wolves, having scored 7 so far this season already and is likely to be playing on the left for Wolves this weekend.
2) 1-1 Draw @ 7.00 - Wolves have a strong defence at home. Reading don't score much away. It should be a tough game for Reading, however their improved defence is proving tough for opposition to break down, having only conceded 7 goals in the last 9 games in all competitions.
3) Yakubu LGS @ 8.50 - He looks likely to start from the bench this weekend for Reading and so is unlikely to score first, however he has got proven finishing skill in England, and it may only take him one chance to be able to show his worth to the travelling Royals this weekend, back him to score last with a small stake.
#GambleAware