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All odds are the best available and taken from Oddschecker.com on November 18
JULY 28 | NOVEMBER 18 | |
QPR | 2/1 | 4/9 |
LEICESTER | 4/1 | 6/5 |
BURNLEY | 16/1 | 9/4 |
NOTTINGHAM FOREST | 4/1 | 3/1 |
READING | 3/1 | 7/2 |
WATFORD | 4/1 | 7/2 |
WIGAN | 9/2 | 9/2 |
LEEDS | 7/1 | 9/1 |
DERBY | 8/1 | 10/1 |
(BOLD TEAMS = ODDS SHORTENING)
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Well it's not hard to see who the bookies fancy to be partying come May, with Harry Redknapp's QPR side rampant favourites at more than 2 to 1 on, meaning a hundred pound bet would only net you £44 in profit right now.
Burnley have seen their pre-season odds slashed after their impressive start, with 16/1 pre-season odds down to just over 2/1 now.
Nottingham Forest were fifth favourites pre-season and they've edged in very slightly but it's Bolton who've seen the biggest crash, with Dougie Freedman's side tthe third favourites at 100/30 pre-season but now out at a distant 18/1.
Reading and Watford were both fancied pre-season but both have suffered minor slips after mixed starts to the season. For me it's interesting that Reading have only gone out to 7/2 from 3/1, considering we've hardly lived up to the pre-season hype. However as mentioned at the top of the piece, it's certainly a good thing to be so fancied by the bookmakers and considering we're still in a play-off place after such a mediocre start, maybe we should be a tad more optimistic going forward.
If you want some long shots, well Middlesbrough at 33/1 look appealing, while as a total random shot in the dark, Charlton at a best price 66/1 might be worth the change in your pocket.
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JULY 28 | NOVEMBER 18 | |
QPR | 6/1 | 5/4 |
LEICESTER | 14/1 | 9/2 |
BURNLEY | 80/1 | 8/1 |
NOTT'M FOREST | 11/1 | 11/1 |
WATFORD | 12/1 | 16/1 |
READING | 9/1 | 20/1 |
Again it's Harry Redknapp's side who are the strong favourites to lift the trophy they last won in 2010, with Leicester then Burnley both under 10/1.
Reading have seen their odds more than double out to 20/1, with Bet365 offering the best odds right now. Most of the other companies are a bit more conservative, pricing the Royals around the 14/1 mark.
20/1 seems rather long odds for a team still in the play-off places but then I suppose such odds are designed to target gullible fools such as myself. That being said, take a look at our bookie watch written in November 2011, where Reading were a whopping 80/1 to win the league, compared to 25/1 to be relegated, we all know how that one panned out......
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JULY 28 | NOVEMBER 18 | |
YEOVIL | 11/10 | 1/3 |
BARNSLEY | 13/5 | 11/13 |
DONCASTER | 5/2 | 7/4 |
SHEFF WEDS | 9/2 | 5/2 |
READING | 40/1 | 250/1 |
Good news everyone! We're now around six times less likely to be relegated according to the bookmakers than we were pre-season. If you do fancy a spectacular collapse you can get odds of 250/1, well behind the favourites Yeovil, Barnsley and Doncaster.
Of course that's not to say it couldn't happen.... After all just take a look at this table, 18 games into the 1995/96 season. Millwall sat on top of the pile after losing just two of their first 18 games, only to see themselves relegated after losing 18 of their next 26 games.
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Golden Boot & Others
I won't list all the names here but Adam Le Fondre was 14/1 to lead the goalscoring charts pre-season and despite six goals so far, he's now fallen to 33/1 well behind 10 goal Jordan Rhodes at 3/1 and 11 goal Ross McCormack at 8/1. Big Pav is the second highest rated Royal at 66/1 after four goals so far, with Hal Robson-Kanu unchanged from his pre-season 150/1 and Nick Blackman also at 150/1.
As for other markets well Nigel Adkins is 50/1 to be the next manager to leave his post, with Blackburn manager Gary Bowyer, the manager of Reading's opponents on Saturday the favourite at 4/1.
Reading are 4/7 to make the play-offs and 1/12 to finish inside the top half.
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So that's how the money men see it. If you are of age, in a country that allows it and fancy a flutter please gamble responsibly while you can always visit to Gamble Aware for support and information on the dangers.